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Traders predict nearly 60% chance US added over 90,000 jobs in September, beating economist forecasts.

Market News
29 Sep 2026
CNBC
View Source
Bullish
Traders predict nearly 60% chance US added over 90,000 jobs in September, beating economist forecasts.

Traders on prediction platforms Kalshi and Polymarket estimate a nearly 60% chance that the US added more than 90,000 jobs in September, with about a 50-50 chance of surpassing 100,000 jobs. This outlook is more optimistic than the Dow Jones economist consensus forecast of 84,000 jobs. The September jobs report from the Bureau of Labor Statistics will be released on Friday, following a strong August report that showed 162,000 new jobs. This data is crucial as it influences Federal Reserve policy decisions on interest rates amid ongoing inflation concerns.

The prediction market traders' outlook on U.S. job additions in September offers context for market sentiment. For readers following U.S. stocks, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026 00:51 WIB: Of 150 priced US stocks tradable on Pluang, 52 rose and 96 fell today. Notable movers include FCEL at USD 17.09 with a 1-day change of +5.89%, NIO at USD 3.41 down 5.01%, and TME at USD 7.96 down 4.90%.

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