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Shopify shares down 26% YTD despite 30% revenue growth; $200 target by 2028 seen as a stretch.

Analyst Insights
02 Jun 2026
24/7 Wall Street
View Source
Neutral
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Shopify processed $123.84 billion in Q4 2025 GMV and grew revenue by 30.58%, yet its stock is down 26.25% year-to-date due to a 42.54% drop in net income caused by accounting losses on equity investments. Operating income and free cash flow rose, but high stock volatility and market skepticism about growth stocks weigh on the price. Wall Street expects a 26% upside with a $150 target, but a cautious model predicts a lower near-term price around $108. Reaching $200 by 2028 requires strong revenue growth, normalization of earnings, and share buybacks, but risks like a consumer slowdown could derail this.

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