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Tesla shifts to AI-driven model with FSD subscriptions boosting revenue despite higher costs.

Company Fundamentals
19 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
Tesla shifts to AI-driven model with FSD subscriptions boosting revenue despite higher costs.

Tesla is rapidly evolving into a physical AI company, with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) subscriptions growing 56% year-over-year in Q2 and reaching an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $791 million. The company expects up to 750,000 subscribers and an ARR between $860 million and $890 million in Q3, signaling strong growth in its high-margin subscription business. However, Tesla has increased its capital expenditure guidance and projects negative free cash flow through 2026, leading to a moderate downgrade from Strong Buy to Buy. Despite near-term financial pressures and high valuations, Tesla's long-term value remains promising as FSD and other innovations continue to scale.

Tesla shares are trading at USD 367.72 on Pluang as of Oct 20, 2026 04:02 WIB, up 3.66% in the last day. The stock holds a market cap of $1.40 trillion and a 52-week range between $298.16 and $489.88. This price movement coincides with Tesla's focus on growing its Full Self-Driving subscription business, which is highlighted in the Q3 preview, while investor sentiment remains balanced with a near-even split in Pluang order activity at 49% Sell and 51% Buy.

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