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Oracle stock halves despite booming AI backlog, with a 55% upside forecast amid mixed cash flow signals.

Analyst Insights
18 Sep 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Bullish
Oracle stock halves despite booming AI backlog, with a 55% upside forecast amid mixed cash flow signals.

Oracle's stock has dropped 53% over the past year to around $140, even as its AI-related backlog surged to $664 billion, raising questions about market valuation. The company reported strong Q1 FY2027 results, including 29.6% revenue growth and a 121% increase in infrastructure-as-a-service revenue, while raising full-year revenue guidance to $90 billion. Bulls see potential for a breakout with a price target of $217.95, implying 55% upside, based on backlog conversion and capacity delivery. Bears worry about heavy capital expenditure, negative free cash flow, and rising debt, but Oracle's management expects strong cash flow conversion post ramp-up. Compared to peers Microsoft and IBM, Oracle trades at a lower forward P/E with higher growth, making the stock potentially undervalued if execution goes as planned.

Oracle's stock trades at USD 146.83 on Pluang, down 2.49% in the past day, with a market cap of $455.34 billion. Investors on Pluang show a 62% buy interest versus 38% sell. These figures are current as of Sep 18, 2026 20:41 WIB.

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