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Ciena sees 37% revenue jump on AI demand, targets 30% CAGR through 2029 with strong backlog growth.

Analyst Insights
14 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
Ciena sees 37% revenue jump on AI demand, targets 30% CAGR through 2029 with strong backlog growth.

Ciena reported a 37% year-over-year revenue increase in Q3 FY2026, driven by strong demand related to AI workloads and a robust backlog that reached $8.5 billion, expected to exceed $10 billion by year-end. The company aims for about 30% revenue compound annual growth rate through FY2029, with management guiding for a 50% adjusted gross margin and a 32–35% adjusted operating margin. Despite trading at a discount compared to peers, Ciena faces risks including customer concentration, supply chain constraints, and margin execution challenges. The strong order momentum outpacing shipments highlights Ciena's positioning in the growing AI and data transport market.

Ciena's stock price on Pluang is currently at USD 390.18, down 2.55% as of Oct 14, 2026 20:31 WIB, trading significantly below its 52-week high of USD 627.00 but well above its 52-week low of USD 164.48. This price movement contrasts with the company's strong revenue growth and backlog expansion reported recently. Despite the solid fundamentals, Pluang investors show a majority sell sentiment with 78% of orders being sell orders, reflecting cautious positioning in the technology sector.

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