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Bitcoin prediction markets see volatile 2026 with low odds for $100K price

Market News
12 Aug 2026
Bitcoin
View Source
Neutral
pluang ai news

Bitcoin-focused prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi have seen over $120 million wagered on BTC's 2026 price, signaling expectations of sharp price swings. Polymarket assigns a 68% chance of BTC hitting $70,000 before year-end but only 9% for $100,000, while Kalshi prices a 12% chance for $100,000 by January 2027. Traders expect a volatile range between roughly $55,000 and $75,000, with little confidence in a major breakout above six figures. The markets highlight cautious sentiment amid uncertainty, with key price swings and ETF flows to watch going forward.

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Target's stock may face a pullback despite strong Q2 earnings forecast and 57% YTD surge.

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Company Fundamentals
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RLX Technology misses Q2 earnings estimates but sees 14.8% revenue growth driven by international sales.

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