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Markets see higher odds for Bitcoin falling below $80K than reaching $92.5K in October 2026

Market News
13 Oct 2026
Tokenpost
View Source
Neutral
Markets see higher odds for Bitcoin falling below $80K than reaching $92.5K in October 2026

Prediction markets Polymarket and Kalshi show that Bitcoin is more likely to drop below $80,000 than to rise above $92,500 during October 2026. Polymarket assigns a 54% chance for Bitcoin to touch $80,000, while Kalshi gives a 55% probability for Bitcoin trading below that level. Upside probabilities for reaching higher thresholds like $92,500 are significantly lower. These markets track whether Bitcoin hits these price points at any time in October, not the closing price, reflecting cautious investor sentiment about Bitcoin's near-term price movements.

Bitcoin trades at Rp1.494.662.633 on Pluang as of Oct 14, 2026 06:02 WIB, showing a 1.87% gain in the past day. Despite the positive daily change, Pluang users display a balanced sentiment with 54% buying and 46% selling activity. The typical holding period on Pluang is 111 days, indicating medium-term investor engagement during this period of cautious market outlook.

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