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Prediction markets show about a 33-38% chance Bitcoin hits $100K by end of 2026

Market News
29 Sep 2026
Tokenpost
View Source
Neutral
Prediction markets show about a 33-38% chance Bitcoin hits $100K by end of 2026

Prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket estimate a roughly 33-38% chance that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 before the end of 2026. Kalshi's contract shows a 38% probability based on the CF Bitcoin Real-Time Index, while Polymarket's contract indicates a 31% chance using Binance BTC/USDT prices. Bitcoin was trading around $83,477 on Sept. 29, so reaching $100,000 would require about a 20% price increase. These market-based probabilities provide real-time sentiment but are not formal forecasts, and contract rules differ slightly between platforms.

Bitcoin's 2026 price prediction is the subject, with a 33-38% chance of reaching $100,000. For readers following cryptocurrency, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Sep 29, 2026 18:02 WIB: of 50 major cryptocurrencies, 38 rose and 11 fell. Notable movers include GRT at Rp550 with a -4.64% change and 92% sell order activity, COTI at Rp232 with -4.51% change and 80% buy order activity, and XTZ at Rp5.817 with +4.17% change and 59% buy order activity.

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