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Novo Nordisk rated Buy over Eli Lilly due to valuation discount and steady growth prospects.

Analyst Insights
07 Oct 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
Novo Nordisk rated Buy over Eli Lilly due to valuation discount and steady growth prospects.

Novo Nordisk is rated as a Buy compared to Eli Lilly because it trades at a significant valuation discount of about 26% to its big pharma peers despite having similar growth rates and a strong dividend yield. The stock is priced at roughly 11.2 times its projected 2027 earnings, offering potential annual returns of around 10% if current valuations and yields hold. Key risks include potential earnings drops after 2030, pipeline challenges, and price declines beyond the expected 10% annual decrease. A near-term catalyst is the US decision on CagriSema expected in Q4 2026, which could impact the stock's outlook.

As of Oct 08, 2026 10:41 WIB, Novo Nordisk trades at USD 38.25 on Pluang with a dividend yield of 4.79%, reflecting its appeal despite a high sell order activity of 85%. Eli Lilly is priced much higher at USD 1,188.14 with a lower dividend yield of 0.6%, and a more balanced order activity of 59% sell and 41% buy. The typical hold time for Novo Nordisk on Pluang is 116 days, longer than Eli Lilly's 93 days, indicating different investor engagement levels.

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