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AI infrastructure spending hits $770B in 2026, but much revenue is circular, raising credit risk concerns.

Market News
13 Aug 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Neutral
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Corporate America plans to invest $770 billion in AI infrastructure in 2026, but much of the revenue generated is part of a circular financing loop among major tech firms like Microsoft, Nvidia, and Oracle. This loop means the same money is counted multiple times as revenue, masking true customer demand and profitability. The Bank for International Settlements warns that off-balance-sheet debt tied to AI buildouts is growing faster than reported, raising concerns about hidden financial risks. Investors should monitor hyperscaler debt disclosures and Nvidia's credit default swap spreads to gauge market risk, as the AI funding model depends heavily on continued internal spending rather than external revenue growth.

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