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Key economic data this week may decide if the Fed hikes rates in September amid high inflation and tight labor market.

Market News
30 Aug 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
pluang ai news

This week’s economic reports, including payrolls and job openings (JOLTS), are crucial for assessing the likelihood of a Federal Reserve interest rate hike in September. Inflation remains elevated with July's headline PCE at 3.7%, and labor market data indicates tightening conditions and full employment. The odds of a rate increase are near 50%, and even data that meets expectations could raise those odds, while stronger data would increase pressure on the Fed. Treasury yields on 2-year and 10-year notes face limited resistance above current levels, suggesting rates could rise sharply if economic data surprises positively.

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