
The AI trade in the market has evolved from focusing on hyperscalers to chipmakers, reflecting a shift in investment themes. The SOX index has seen a roughly 60% price gain this year, matched by similar earnings growth, with projections for an additional 75% growth next year. Nasdaq-100 companies show strong earnings breadth, with over half reporting 20%+ growth and Q2 earnings nearing an annualized 80%, the strongest since 2010. Despite record highs, large-cap valuations are compressing as forward earnings outpace price gains. The recovery extends beyond AI and chipmakers to mid and small-cap stocks, supported by expectations of rate cuts, cooling wages, and tax benefits.