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Fed's unclear guidance pushes yields higher, testing risk asset resilience with July CPI key.

Market News
09 Aug 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
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The Federal Reserve's lack of clear forward guidance is causing both nominal and real interest rates to rise, steepening the yield curve. Real yields have surpassed inflation expectations for the first time since 2008, indicating a possible shift in rate dynamics. The market is closely watching July's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data, which is expected to be modest but crucial for determining the resilience of risk assets. Risk assets may hold steady until real yields approach 2.7–3%, with the July CPI acting as a critical test for future market direction.

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