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Lumentum seen as a speculative buy with growth potential from AI hardware demand but faces execution risks.

Analyst Insights
30 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
Lumentum seen as a speculative buy with growth potential from AI hardware demand but faces execution risks.

Lumentum Holdings is considered a speculative buy due to its expertise in optical components and strong customer commitments, including a significant multi-billion dollar deal with Nvidia. This deal offers Lumentum a clear path for expansion, especially in advanced optical products critical for AI hardware. However, investors should be cautious of risks such as delays in product qualification, changes in product mix, and margin pressures that could impact its premium valuation. The company is expected to see earnings per share rise to $20.50 by fiscal 2027 and $31 by 2028, but current stock multiples require sustained revenue and margin growth to justify these valuations.

Lumentum's stock is trading at USD 965.00 on Pluang, showing a slight decline of 0.87% as of Oct 01, 2026 04:31 WIB. The company's market cap stands at $87.32 billion, with strong buying interest reflected in 99% of Pluang's order activity at this time.

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