In 2026, Bitcoin's market capitalization and the 10-year U.S. Treasury real yields reached a correlation above 0.6, marking the highest level ever recorded. Historically, Bitcoin showed little correlation with these real yields, but the relationship has grown stronger in recent years. This correlation is based on Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities (TIPS) yields, which adjust for inflation, and reflects a trend of Bitcoin moving more in line with real yields. However, this does not imply causation or guarantee the trend will continue. Meanwhile, U.S. federal debt has surpassed $40 trillion, with interest expenses now exceeding Medicare costs as a major budget item.
Bitcoin's market cap correlation with 10-year real yields reached a record high above 0.6 in 2026, highlighting a new trend in its market dynamics. For readers following cryptocurrency markets, here is Pluang's snapshot as of Oct 16, 2026 10:41 WIB: 47 of 50 major cryptocurrencies rose today. Notable movers include CRV at Rp6.240 (+8.16%, 2% Sell / 98% Buy, typical hold 62 days), EOS at Rp12.649 (+8.13%, typical hold 87 days), and MANA at Rp1.622 (+7.13%, 85% Sell / 15% Buy, typical hold 156 days).
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