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US-Iran cooperation to remove sea mines boosts peace deal odds to 39.5% by April 22

Market News
17 Apr 2026
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Bullish
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Former President Trump announced that Iran is working with the US to remove sea mines in the Strait of Hormuz, signaling a concrete step toward de-escalation. This cooperation has increased the market odds for a permanent US-Iran peace deal by April 22 to 39.5%, up from 12% a week ago. The market shows strong liquidity and growing confidence in a formal agreement, with later dates also seeing rising odds. Investors should watch for official announcements from US or Iranian officials that could confirm the deal or sanctions relief, which would likely push odds higher.

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