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Fair Isaac shares plunge 27% on VantageScore mortgage adoption fears despite strong cash flow and buybacks

Market News
29 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
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Bearish
Fair Isaac shares plunge 27% on VantageScore mortgage adoption fears despite strong cash flow and buybacks

Fair Isaac Corporation (FICO) shares fell 27% on September 29, marking their worst day in over 30 years due to concerns about the growing use of the VantageScore model in home mortgage applications, which threatens FICO's market share. Despite this setback, FICO remains financially strong with $961 million in trailing twelve months free cash flow and aggressive share buybacks. The company’s updated guidance for fiscal year 2026 projects $2.53 billion in revenue and $42.43 adjusted earnings per share, with potential for earnings to exceed $50 per share in future years. Analysts see FICO’s stock as undervalued, estimating a fair value of $800 per share even with conservative earnings and valuation assumptions, suggesting a buying opportunity amid current price weakness.

Fair Isaac Corporation shares faced a major drop recently. For readers following financial stocks, here is Pluang's market snapshot as of Sep 30, 2026 04:22 WIB: Of 85 priced Financials-sector US stocks, 32 rose and 53 fell. Notable movers include LMND at USD 43.92 with a 1-day change of -2.25%, HBAN at USD 15.34 down 1.92%, and BTBT at USD 1.65 down 1.79% with 83% buy order activity and a typical hold time of 13 days.

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