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Middle East conflict disrupts aluminum supply, boosts prices, while copper faces demand risks and potential surplus.

Market News
02 Apr 2026
Stjepan Kalinic
View Source
Bearish
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The ongoing Middle East conflict has caused significant disruptions in aluminum production and supply, especially due to attacks on major producers and the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, a key route for alumina. This has driven aluminum prices to near four-year highs around $3,500 per ton. Conversely, copper markets face a complex situation where demand weakness amid rising costs and supply constraints could push the market into a surplus, potentially lowering prices below $10,000 per ton. The conflict's broader impact includes increased volatility in commodity markets and inflation risks, affecting mining companies differently based on their cost structures and exposure.

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