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Deutsche Bank cuts luxury sector growth forecast to 5.5% amid Middle East conflict and weak demand.

Market News
01 Apr 2026
Proactive Investors
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Bearish
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Deutsche Bank has lowered its luxury sector growth forecast for 2026 from 6.5% to 5.5%, citing the impact of the Middle East conflict and sluggish demand. Despite a sector decline of 15-25% year-to-date and weaker first-quarter sales growth now expected at 3%, the bank views these pressures as cyclical rather than structural. Key growth drivers remain strong spending by high-net-worth customers, new creative leadership, and recovering Chinese and US demand. The bank highlights store rationalisation trends and recommends Hermes, Burberry, Richemont, and LVMH as top picks based on different risk profiles.

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