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Coherent stock down 16% in 6 months but analyst predicts nearly 90% surge ahead.

Analyst Insights
15 Oct 2026
24/7 Wall Street
View Source
Bullish
Coherent stock down 16% in 6 months but analyst predicts nearly 90% surge ahead.

Coherent's stock has fallen nearly 16% over the past six months, despite the company beating earnings estimates and showing strong revenue growth, mainly from its AI-related optical products. Wall Street analyst Mike Genovese from Rosenblatt Securities has a bullish price target of $500, implying an 89.9% upside, citing a sold-out production pipeline and expanding margins. The stock's recent decline is partly due to rising interest rates and sector-wide profit-taking, but Coherent's long-term contracts and expected revenue growth to over $3 billion in fiscal 2027 support a strong rebound potential. Investors should watch for the company's ability to convert backlog into revenue and margin expansion amid market volatility and high debt levels.

Coherent's stock price on Pluang is currently USD 250.79, down 4.76% as of Oct 15, 2026, 20:01 WIB, with a market cap of $51.86 billion. Despite the analyst's bullish outlook, Pluang order activity shows a strong sell sentiment at 92% sell versus 8% buy. This trading behavior highlights investor caution even as the company plans for significant revenue growth and margin expansion.

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