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Cleveland-Cliffs trades below value amid debt and cautious outlook despite strong steel demand.

Market News
01 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Neutral
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Cleveland-Cliffs, North America's largest flat-rolled steel producer, is trading at a discount despite recent EBITDA growth and strong automotive contracts. The company's future upside depends on contract resets and undisclosed Stelco earnings, but analysts may overestimate 2027 free cash flow by including uncertain contributions. Management focuses on reducing debt rather than shareholder returns, with buybacks paused and all free cash flow aimed at lowering leverage below 2.5 times. Given risks from high leverage, steel price uncertainty, and no immediate returns to shareholders, the stock is considered a buy only at around $11 per share, not at $15.

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