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AI infrastructure costs surge, raising credit risks and investor caution amid Oracle's negative cash flow.

Market News
20 Sep 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
AI infrastructure costs surge, raising credit risks and investor caution amid Oracle's negative cash flow.

Oracle's capital spending on AI infrastructure has surged, causing free cash flow to turn sharply negative and shifting funding reliance from internal cash to debt. This shift raises the cost of capital and pressures investment returns, evidenced by Oracle's downgraded BBB- credit rating, tripled CDS spreads, and discounted loans for major AI projects. While demand for AI remains strong, the risk of overbuilding and concentrated financing could lead to investor losses if infrastructure returns fail to exceed capital costs. Credit markets are signaling caution despite ongoing technological progress in AI.

Oracle's increased spending on AI infrastructure and its impact on capital costs is reflected in its stock performance. On Pluang, ORCL trades at USD 147.60, down 1.98% as of Sep 21, 2026 00:11 WIB. Despite this, the stock sees more buying interest with 62% of orders to buy versus 38% to sell, and it carries a dividend yield of 1.35%. The typical hold time for ORCL on Pluang is 71 days, indicating moderate investor engagement amid these financial shifts.

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