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Bitcoin's MVRV drops below 30th percentile after failing to break $87K resistance, signaling accumulation phase.

Technical Signals
18 Oct 2026
Crypto Briefing
View Source
Neutral
Bitcoin's MVRV drops below 30th percentile after failing to break $87K resistance, signaling accumulation phase.

Bitcoin has faced multiple rejections near the $87,000 level, causing its cycle-adjusted MVRV percentile to fall to 25.7%, a range historically linked to accumulation rather than market highs. This metric compares Bitcoin's market value to its realized value, adjusted for market cycles, indicating that the current price is closer to holders' cost basis. Despite this, Bitcoin has not yet reached the extreme undervaluation levels associated with major market bottoms. Long-term holders are currently distributing more coins than acquiring, and demand from US spot Bitcoin ETFs has cooled, suggesting a cautious market. The situation points to a potential accumulation phase if Bitcoin holds around $81,700 and shows bullish signs, but further declines in the MVRV metric could occur before a strong market floor is established.

Following Bitcoin's struggle near the $87,000 mark, it trades on Pluang at Rp1.462.551.635 as of Oct 19, 2026 05:51 WIB, showing a modest 0.28% increase in the past day. Market activity on Pluang reveals a balanced interest with 59% of orders to buy and 41% to sell, while typical holding time stands at 111 days, indicating steady investor engagement despite recent price resistance.

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