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Bitcoin's 500-day trading rule signals buy in Nov 2026 but may weaken due to ETF and institutional influence.

Market News
05 Aug 2026
Coindesk
View Source
Neutral
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The bitcoin 500-day rule, a strategy tied to bitcoin's four-year halving cycle, suggests buying around 500 days before a halving and selling about 500 days after, historically yielding strong profits. The next buy window is expected in late November 2026 with a sell signal around mid-August 2029. However, this cycle faces challenges as U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs and institutional flows now overshadow miner supply, potentially reducing the halving's price impact. Experts debate whether the traditional halving-driven cycle remains a reliable trading signal amid these new market dynamics.

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