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Applied Optoelectronics stock dropped 55% but an analyst predicts it could double soon.

Analyst Insights
09 Oct 2026
24/7 Wall Street
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Bullish
Applied Optoelectronics stock dropped 55% but an analyst predicts it could double soon.

Applied Optoelectronics' stock has fallen over 50% in six months due to share dilution and a memory shortage, yet analyst Mike Genovese from Rosenblatt Securities expects the stock to double from its current $105.90 price to $220.00. The company, which makes optical transceivers for AI servers and cable operators, reported strong revenue growth and expects significant increases in 800G and 1.6T product sales. Despite recent challenges, including EPS downgrades and share sales, the analyst highlights potential from new design wins, higher-margin products, and improving margins, with a positive outlook if upcoming quarterly results confirm shipment growth. Investors should watch for further share sales and margin improvements as key factors influencing the stock's trajectory.

As of Oct 09, 2026 18:32 WIB, Applied Optoelectronics (AAOI) is trading at USD 113.80 on Pluang, up 7.46% for the day with a market cap of $9.00 billion. The stock shows strong buying interest, with 76% of order activity on Pluang being buys. This notable daily gain contrasts with the article's mention of a six-month decline, highlighting recent positive momentum for AAOI shares.

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