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Analyst sees 75% chance Bitcoin cycle has turned after recent rebound

Analyst Insights
28 Sep 2026
Bitcoin
View Source
Bullish
Analyst sees 75% chance Bitcoin cycle has turned after recent rebound

An analyst from Keefe, Bruyette & Woods estimates a 75% probability that the Bitcoin market cycle has turned, suggesting the worst of the crypto bear market may be over. Bitcoin's June low was shallower and shorter than previous bear markets, which typically saw declines of about 82%. Despite the recovery, there remains a risk of another drop as earlier rallies have failed before. The analyst's positive outlook supports a bullish rating on Coinbase stock, expecting increased trading activity and revenue growth from new business areas. However, risks like weaker stock markets and Federal Reserve tightening remain.

The analyst's view on the Bitcoin market cycle is presented here with Pluang's market data as context. For readers following cryptocurrency trends, 10 out of 50 major cryptocurrencies on Pluang rose while 39 fell. Notable price changes include EOS up 8.13% at Rp12.649, CAKE down 7.54% at Rp46.731 with a 52% sell order activity, and FIL down 6.97% at Rp18.852 with 74% sell orders, as of Sep 29, 2026 06:31 WIB.

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