Costco Wholesale Corporation vs Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares — how do they compare? Costco Wholesale Corporation trades at $942.95 (market cap $422.52B), while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.93. The key difference: Costco Wholesale Corporation pays a 0.62% dividend while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| COST | TMF | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $422.52B | — |
Sector | Consumer Staples | Leveraged / Inverse |
52-Week High | $1.09K | $44.14 |
52-Week Low | $849.63 | $30.59 |
Enterprise Value | $410.66B | — |
Dividend Yield | 0.62% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Costco (COST) trades at $952.75, up 0.52% with neutral technical signals. The company shows steady revenue growth, reaching $275.24B in 2025, and maintains strong profitability with a 3.01% net margin. Recent earnings beat expectations in Q3 and Q4 2025 but missed in Q1 2026. Analyst sentiment remains bullish with 65.52% buy ratings and a $1,120 consensus price target, while institutional buying activity continues.
Costco's outlook is positive due to membership fee growth and expansion, though high valuation multiples (P/E 47.93) pose risks. Key opportunities include consistent cash flow generation and market share gains, while risks involve competitive pressures and economic sensitivity. The stock offers long-term growth potential but requires monitoring of valuation metrics.
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $31.43 with a modest 0.67% daily gain. Technical indicators show a bearish bias overall, with moving averages signaling caution, though oscillators are neutral. The ETF, which provides 3x leveraged exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasuries, faces significant volatility due to its daily leverage reset mechanism. Recent news highlights its high-risk nature, with one article noting a substantial decline from a $10,000 investment five years ago to approximately $1,527, underscoring the perils of long-term holding.
The outlook for TMF is highly speculative and tied to interest rate movements. While some see opportunity at perceived lows in the bond market, the consensus warns it is unsuitable for long-term investment. Primary risks include extreme volatility from daily leverage resets and adverse shifts in Treasury yields. It remains a tactical, short-term instrument for experienced traders, not a core portfolio holding.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
The leading warehouse club, Costco has 815 stores worldwide (at the end of fiscal 2021), with most sales derived in the United States (72%) and Canada (14%). It sells memberships that allow customers to shop in its warehouses, which feature low prices on a limited product assortment. Costco mainly caters to individual shoppers, but roughly 20% of paid members carry business memberships. Food and sundries accounted for 40% of fiscal 2021 sales, with non-food merchandise 29%, warehouse ancillary and other businesses (such as fuel and pharmacy) nearly 17%, and fresh food 14%. Costco's warehouses average around 146,000 square feet
Read more on COST →TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
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