Costco Wholesale Corporation vs Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares — how do they compare? Costco Wholesale Corporation trades at $921.65 (market cap $408.78B), while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $32.51. The key difference: Costco Wholesale Corporation pays a 0.64% dividend while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| COST | TMF | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $408.78B | — |
Sector | Consumer Staples | Leveraged / Inverse |
52-Week High | $1.09K | $44.14 |
52-Week Low | $849.63 | $31.85 |
Enterprise Value | $396.92B | — |
Dividend Yield | 0.64% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
COST trades at $926.43, up 1.11% today, with a bearish technical signal but strong fundamentals. Revenue grew to $275.24B in 2025, with net income up to $8.10B, and March 2026 sales surged 11.3% year-over-year (Costco report, April 8, 2026). Valuation ratios are elevated, with a P/E of 46.6, while analyst consensus is bullish with a $1,120 price target. Recent membership fee hikes and institutional buying support growth prospects.
Outlook remains positive due to steady revenue growth and high membership renewal rates, but risks include rich valuations and competitive pressures. The stock offers long-term value if pullbacks occur, with earnings momentum key for upside. Bearish technicals suggest near-term caution, though fundamentals underpin investor confidence.
TMF, a leveraged ETF tracking long-term US Treasuries, trades at $32.81, down 1.83% today. Technical indicators are bearish overall, with moving averages signaling strong selling pressure, though oscillators show some bullish momentum. The stock lacks traditional fundamental metrics like P/E or revenue due to its ETF structure, relying instead on underlying bond performance and interest rate trends.
Outlook remains volatile, driven by Federal Reserve policy shifts and bond market fluctuations. Risks include daily leverage decay and interest rate sensitivity. Analyst sentiment is mixed, with some seeing opportunity at bond market lows, while others caution against long-term holds due to amplified losses in rising rate environments.
Trailing returns across standard periods
The leading warehouse club, Costco has 815 stores worldwide (at the end of fiscal 2021), with most sales derived in the United States (72%) and Canada (14%). It sells memberships that allow customers to shop in its warehouses, which feature low prices on a limited product assortment. Costco mainly caters to individual shoppers, but roughly 20% of paid members carry business memberships. Food and sundries accounted for 40% of fiscal 2021 sales, with non-food merchandise 29%, warehouse ancillary and other businesses (such as fuel and pharmacy) nearly 17%, and fresh food 14%. Costco's warehouses average around 146,000 square feet
Read more on COST →TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →