Capital One Financial Corp. vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Capital One Financial Corp. trades at $219.37 (market cap $134.33B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.97 (market cap $2.94B). The key difference: Capital One Financial Corp. is far larger — about 45.7× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Capital One Financial Corp. pays a 1.46% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| COF | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $134.33B | $2.94B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $257.94 | $73.76 |
52-Week Low | $176.10 | $24.22 |
Dividend Yield | 1.46% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Capital One Financial (COF) trades at $217.76, down 1.02% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and a consensus analyst price target of $251.60. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations with EPS of $5.81 versus $4.79 expected, driven by strong revenue growth and integration progress with Discover Financial. The stock shows a P/E of 12 and net income margin of 16.96%, reflecting solid valuation and profitability metrics amid ongoing business expansion.
The outlook for COF is positive, supported by earnings momentum, synergy capture from the Discover acquisition, and analyst optimism. Key risks include integration execution, credit loss provisions, and macroeconomic pressures on consumer lending. With 63% of analysts rating it a buy, the stock presents a growth opportunity tempered by sector-specific challenges.
Upstart (UPST) trades at $31.09, up 4.64% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages. The company reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 42% year-over-year and a return to GAAP profitability, with loan originations surging 50%. However, it has missed EPS expectations for three consecutive quarters. The stock is supported by a consensus analyst price target of $47.20, implying significant upside, but faces headwinds from high interest rates and competitive pressures.
The outlook is mixed: strong loan growth and AI-driven underwriting improvements offer growth potential, but recent earnings misses, a high P/E ratio of 59.79, and negative operating cash flow in 2025 pose risks. Investor sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with 45% of analysts rating it a Buy, though volatility from macroeconomic factors remains a key concern for shareholders.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Capital One is a diversified financial services holding company headquartered in McLean, Virginia. Originally a spinoff of Signet Financial's credit card division in 1994, the company is now primarily involved in credit card lending, auto loans, and commercial lending.
Read more on COF →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →