Compare Capital One Financial Corp. (COF) vs Upstart Holdings Inc (UPST) Price & Performance

Capital One Financial (COF) trades at $217.76, down 1.02% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and a consensus analyst price target of $251.60. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations with EPS of $5.81 versus $4.79 expected, driven by strong revenue growth and integration progress with Discover Financial. The stock shows a P/E of 12 and net income margin of 16.96%, reflecting solid valuation and profitability metrics amid ongoing business expansion.

The outlook for COF is positive, supported by earnings momentum, synergy capture from the Discover acquisition, and analyst optimism. Key risks include integration execution, credit loss provisions, and macroeconomic pressures on consumer lending. With 63% of analysts rating it a buy, the stock presents a growth opportunity tempered by sector-specific challenges.

Upstart (UPST) trades at $31.09, up 4.64% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages. The company reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 42% year-over-year and a return to GAAP profitability, with loan originations surging 50%. However, it has missed EPS expectations for three consecutive quarters. The stock is supported by a consensus analyst price target of $47.20, implying significant upside, but faces headwinds from high interest rates and competitive pressures.

The outlook is mixed: strong loan growth and AI-driven underwriting improvements offer growth potential, but recent earnings misses, a high P/E ratio of 59.79, and negative operating cash flow in 2025 pose risks. Investor sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with 45% of analysts rating it a Buy, though volatility from macroeconomic factors remains a key concern for shareholders.