Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. vs Tractor Supply Co — how do they compare? Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. trades at $32.77 (market cap $40.49B), while Tractor Supply Co trades at $35.48 (market cap $18.39B). The key difference: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is far larger — about 2.2× Tractor Supply Co's market cap, and Tractor Supply Co pays a 2.72% dividend while Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CMG | TSCO | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $40.49B | $18.39B |
Sector | Consumer Cyclical | Consumer Cyclical |
52-Week High | $44.04 | $62.65 |
52-Week Low | $28.17 | $29.14 |
Enterprise Value | $45.24B | $24.70B |
Dividend Yield | — | 2.72% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) trades at $32.25, up 0.34% on the day, amid a bearish technical signal despite recent earnings beats. The stock faces headwinds from a recent salmonella outbreak linked to jalapeños, contributing to a 12.64% weekly drop. Fundamentally, revenue growth remains robust, reaching $11.93B in 2025, with strong profitability metrics including a 49.56% ROE. Analyst consensus is overwhelmingly bullish with a $42.17 price target, though technical indicators show selling pressure with key support at $32.
The outlook for CMG balances strong fundamentals against near-term operational risks. Wall Street's buy ratings (70.15%) reflect confidence in long-term growth, but recent food safety issues and declining net income margins pose immediate challenges. Investors should weigh the company's consistent revenue trajectory against potential volatility from ongoing outbreaks and rising costs.
TSCO trades at $34.62, up 0.17% today, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages but bearish oscillators. The stock has missed earnings expectations for three consecutive quarters, with Q3 2026 results pending. Revenue has grown steadily from $14.2B in 2022 to $15.5B in 2025, though net income margin has declined. Recent news highlights cost pressures and a lowered 2026 outlook, alongside strategic initiatives like pet product expansion and dividend payments.
The outlook is mixed: a consensus price target of $36.29 suggests modest upside, but near-term headwinds from weak discretionary demand and higher costs pose risks. Long-term opportunities include digital growth and store investments, yet investor sentiment remains cautious amid earnings misses and guidance cuts.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $7.5 billion in 2021. The Mexican concept is entirely company-owned, with a footprint of more than 3,000 stores, heavily indexed to the United States (though the firm maintains a small presence in Canada, the U.K., France, and Germany). Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.
Read more on CMG →Tractor Supply is the largest operator of retail farm and ranch stores in the United States. The company targets recreational farmers and ranchers and has little exposure to commercial and industrial farm operations. Currently, the company operates 2,016 of its namesake banners in 49 states and 178 Petsense stores. Stores are typically located in towns outside of urban areas and in rural communities. In fiscal 2021, revenue consisted primarily of livestock and pet (47%), hardware, tools, and truck (21%), and seasonal gift and toy (21%).
Read more on TSCO →