Cipher Mining Inc vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Cipher Mining Inc trades at $17.88 (market cap $7.14B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.93 (market cap $2.91B). The key difference: Cipher Mining Inc is far larger — about 2.5× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Cipher Mining Inc is trading nearer its 52-week high, Upstart Holdings Inc nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CIFR | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $7.14B | $2.91B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Financials |
52-Week High | $29.18 | $73.76 |
52-Week Low | $4.72 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $11.90B | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CIFR trades at $17.74, up 8.63% in the last session, but remains in a bearish technical trend with key support at $16. The company is transitioning from Bitcoin mining to AI data centers, reporting a Q2 2026 loss per share of $0.65, missing estimates. Revenue was $224 million in 2025 but fell to $191 million in 2026, with a net loss widening to $1.1 billion. Despite negative profitability metrics, analyst consensus is unanimously bullish with a $31.78 price target.
The outlook hinges on successful execution of its AI infrastructure pivot, offering growth potential but carrying high risk due to persistent losses, heavy capital expenditure, and reliance on project financing. Investors face volatility from operational cash burn and competitive pressures in the data center market, warranting caution despite optimistic Wall Street ratings.
Upstart trades at $29.23, down 3.24% today, with a bearish technical signal despite recent Q2 2026 earnings beat showing 42% revenue growth and return to GAAP profitability. The stock faces valuation compression concerns with a P/E of 57.48, while analyst consensus remains divided with a $47.20 price target suggesting significant upside potential from current levels.
The outlook balances strong AI-driven loan origination growth against persistent earnings misses and negative cash flow from operations. Key risks include high short interest at 27% and sensitivity to interest rate environment, though institutional sentiment appears cautiously optimistic given the 45% buy rating distribution.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Cipher Mining is an industrial-scale technology company focused on Bitcoin mining infrastructure. It develops and operates data centers in the US designed to strengthen the Bitcoin network and support decentralized finance.
Read more on CIFR →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →