Carlyle Group Inc vs Vistra Corp — how do they compare? Carlyle Group Inc trades at $46.14 (market cap $16.37B), while Vistra Corp trades at $160.31 (market cap $53.42B). The key difference: Vistra Corp is far larger — about 3.3× Carlyle Group Inc's market cap, and Carlyle Group Inc pays the higher dividend (3.08%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CG | VST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $16.37B | $53.42B |
Sector | Financials | Technology |
52-Week High | $69.35 | $217.92 |
52-Week Low | $40.52 | $134.71 |
Dividend Yield | 3.08% | 0.58% |
Enterprise Value | — | $75.17B |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CG trades at $44.14, down 1.27% on the day, with a neutral technical signal and bearish moving averages. The company reported revenue of $3.21B and net income of $808.70M for 2025, with a P/E ratio of 30.24. Recent developments include the acquisition of a majority stake in MAI Capital Management and the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on August 5, 2026.
The outlook is mixed, with analyst consensus leaning bullish (53.84% Buy) and a price target of $58.57 implying significant upside. However, risks include volatile cash flows from operations, recent earnings misses, and a high valuation. The stock's performance hinges on successful execution of growth initiatives and improved earnings consistency.
Vistra Corp. (VST) trades at $158.12, down 0.47% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and neutral oscillators. The company reported strong Q1 2026 earnings beating estimates, with revenue growth from $17.74B in 2025 to $19.4B projected for 2026. Net income margin improved to 11.52%, supported by robust cash flow from operations of $4.07B. Recent news highlights Vistra's positioning in the AI power demand surge and long-term power purchase agreements with major tech firms.
Outlook remains positive with a consensus price target of $230.50, implying significant upside. Key opportunities include exposure to growing electricity demand and strategic renewables focus. Risks involve power-price volatility, high debt levels, and execution of growth projects. Analyst sentiment is strongly bullish with 91% buy ratings, though investors should monitor Q2 2026 earnings due August 7 for confirmation of growth trajectory.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
The Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $376.4 billion in total assets under management, including $259.6 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of June 2022. The company has three core business segments: private equity, which includes private equity, real estate, infrastructure and natural resources funds (accounting for 41% of fee-earning AUM and 65% of base management fees during 2021), global credit (45% and 24%) and investment solutions (14% and 11%). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving close to 2,700 active carry fund investors from 95 countries.
Read more on CG →Vistra is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company that serves as a critical infrastructure provider for the digital economy. It operates a diversified portfolio of zero-carbon nuclear and renewable assets alongside a massive, flexible natural gas fleet, positioning it as an indispensable partner for energy-intensive AI data centers and industrial electrification.
Read more on VST →