Carlyle Group Inc vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Carlyle Group Inc trades at $48.27 (market cap $17.23B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.11 (market cap $2.91B). The key difference: Carlyle Group Inc is far larger — about 5.9× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Carlyle Group Inc pays a 2.9% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CG | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $17.23B | $2.91B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $69.35 | $73.76 |
52-Week Low | $40.52 | $24.22 |
Dividend Yield | 2.9% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CG trades at $48.14, up 0.71% today, with a bullish technical signal and strong analyst support. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat estimates, with revenue growth and AUM expansion noted. The stock shows positive momentum near key resistance at $50, supported by institutional buying and strategic partnerships.
Outlook is positive given earnings beats and a $59.14 consensus price target, but risks include volatile cash flows and high P/E of 50.36. Investment appeal hinges on sustained fundraising and execution amid economic uncertainty.
Upstart trades at $29.23, down 3.24% today, with a bearish technical signal despite recent Q2 2026 earnings beat showing 42% revenue growth and return to GAAP profitability. The stock faces valuation compression concerns with a P/E of 57.48, while analyst consensus remains divided with a $47.20 price target suggesting significant upside potential from current levels.
The outlook balances strong AI-driven loan origination growth against persistent earnings misses and negative cash flow from operations. Key risks include high short interest at 27% and sensitivity to interest rate environment, though institutional sentiment appears cautiously optimistic given the 45% buy rating distribution.
Trailing returns across standard periods
The Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $376.4 billion in total assets under management, including $259.6 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of June 2022. The company has three core business segments: private equity, which includes private equity, real estate, infrastructure and natural resources funds (accounting for 41% of fee-earning AUM and 65% of base management fees during 2021), global credit (45% and 24%) and investment solutions (14% and 11%). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving close to 2,700 active carry fund investors from 95 countries.
Read more on CG →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →