Carlyle Group Inc vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? Carlyle Group Inc trades at $46.85 (market cap $16.37B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $31.41 (market cap $3.04B). The key difference: Carlyle Group Inc is far larger — about 5.4× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and Carlyle Group Inc pays a 3.08% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CG | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $16.37B | $3.04B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $69.35 | $84.13 |
52-Week Low | $40.52 | $24.22 |
Dividend Yield | 3.08% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CG trades at $44.14, down 1.27% on the day, with a neutral technical signal and bearish moving averages. The company reported revenue of $3.21B and net income of $808.70M for 2025, with a P/E ratio of 30.24. Recent developments include the acquisition of a majority stake in MAI Capital Management and the upcoming Q2 2026 earnings release on August 5, 2026.
The outlook is mixed, with analyst consensus leaning bullish (53.84% Buy) and a price target of $58.57 implying significant upside. However, risks include volatile cash flows from operations, recent earnings misses, and a high valuation. The stock's performance hinges on successful execution of growth initiatives and improved earnings consistency.
UPST trades at $31.46, down 3.91% on the day, reflecting recent volatility amid mixed earnings. The stock shows a bearish technical trend with support near $29, while fundamentals highlight a return to profitability in 2025 with $1.02B revenue and $53.60M net income. Recent news emphasizes AI lending growth and a key $600M funding deal with Neuberger Berman, though margin pressures persist.
The outlook hinges on execution of AI-driven lending expansion and funding stability, with a consensus price target of $42.00 suggesting 33% upside. Risks include earnings volatility, high debt levels, and competitive fintech pressures. Analyst sentiment is balanced with 45% buy ratings, but investors await Q2 2026 results on August 4 for confirmation of growth trajectory.
Trailing returns across standard periods
The Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $376.4 billion in total assets under management, including $259.6 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of June 2022. The company has three core business segments: private equity, which includes private equity, real estate, infrastructure and natural resources funds (accounting for 41% of fee-earning AUM and 65% of base management fees during 2021), global credit (45% and 24%) and investment solutions (14% and 11%). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving close to 2,700 active carry fund investors from 95 countries.
Read more on CG →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →