Carlyle Group Inc vs Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares — how do they compare? Carlyle Group Inc trades at $48.27 (market cap $17.20B), while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares trades at $30.92. The key difference: Carlyle Group Inc pays a 2.93% dividend while Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares pays none, and Carlyle Group Inc is trading nearer its 52-week high, Direxion Daily 20 Year Treasury Bull 3X Shares nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CG | TMF | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $17.20B | — |
Sector | Financials | Leveraged / Inverse |
52-Week High | $69.35 | $44.14 |
52-Week Low | $40.52 | $30.59 |
Dividend Yield | 2.93% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CG trades at $47.79, down 2.23% today, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages and support at $47. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations (EPS $1.07 vs. $0.911), though revenue declined to $2.9B in 2026. The company maintains a strong net income margin of 18.85% and announced strategic partnerships, including a $600M deal with Prime Capital Financial (Business Wire, 2026-08-06).
Outlook is mixed: analyst consensus is bullish with a $59.14 price target (53.84% buy ratings), but risks include volatile cash flow from operations (-$4.2B in 2026) and high P/E of 49.78. Investors may see upside from fundraising strength, though margin compression and macroeconomic headwinds warrant caution.
TMF, the Direxion Daily 20+ Year Treasury Bull 3X ETF, trades at $31.43 with a modest 0.67% daily gain. Technical indicators show a bearish bias overall, with moving averages signaling caution, though oscillators are neutral. The ETF, which provides 3x leveraged exposure to long-duration U.S. Treasuries, faces significant volatility due to its daily leverage reset mechanism. Recent news highlights its high-risk nature, with one article noting a substantial decline from a $10,000 investment five years ago to approximately $1,527, underscoring the perils of long-term holding.
The outlook for TMF is highly speculative and tied to interest rate movements. While some see opportunity at perceived lows in the bond market, the consensus warns it is unsuitable for long-term investment. Primary risks include extreme volatility from daily leverage resets and adverse shifts in Treasury yields. It remains a tactical, short-term instrument for experienced traders, not a core portfolio holding.
Trailing returns across standard periods
The Carlyle Group is one of the world's largest alternative-asset managers, with $376.4 billion in total assets under management, including $259.6 billion in fee-earning AUM, at the end of June 2022. The company has three core business segments: private equity, which includes private equity, real estate, infrastructure and natural resources funds (accounting for 41% of fee-earning AUM and 65% of base management fees during 2021), global credit (45% and 24%) and investment solutions (14% and 11%). The firm primarily serves institutional investors and high-net-worth individuals. Carlyle operates through 29 offices across five continents, serving close to 2,700 active carry fund investors from 95 countries.
Read more on CG →TMF is a leveraged ETF that seeks to provide 300% (3x) of the daily performance of the ICE U.S. Treasury 20+ Year Bond Index. It is a tactical instrument used by sophisticated traders to capitalize on declining interest rates or to hedge against equity market volatility. Due to its daily reset mechanism and high expense ratio, TMF is structurally designed for short-term speculation rather than long-term buy-and-hold investing.
Read more on TMF →