CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs Vistra Corp — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $117.69 (market cap $18.38B), while Vistra Corp trades at $145.25 (market cap $47.95B). The key difference: Vistra Corp is far larger — about 2.6× CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s market cap, and CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays the higher dividend (1.98%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | VST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.38B | $47.95B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Technology |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $217.92 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $134.71 |
Enterprise Value | $19.52B | $69.89B |
Dividend Yield | 1.98% | 0.64% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries Holdings (CF) trades at $114.35, down 2.04% today, reflecting a bearish technical trend with support at $112 and resistance at $116. The company reported mixed Q2 2026 earnings, missing EPS estimates at $4.73 versus $5.63 expected, but revenue grew 17.6% year-over-year on strong nitrogen pricing. Fundamentals remain solid with a P/E of 8.48 and net income margin of 27.12%, while cash flow improved to $368 million in 2025. Recent news highlights institutional buying and nitrogen market tightness supporting mid-cycle earnings.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic; CF benefits from robust nitrogen demand and pricing, with analyst consensus target at $119.60 implying upside. Risks include volume volatility from plant outages and debt levels, but high ROE (39.19%) and dividend payments signal financial health. Investors may find value at current levels if operational execution aligns with favorable industry conditions.
Vistra (VST) trades at $140.59, down 0.56% on the day, with a bearish technical signal driven by selling pressure in moving averages. The stock shows strong profitability with a net income margin of 11.55% and ROE of 75.73%, though recent quarterly EPS results were mixed with two misses against expectations. Analyst consensus remains overwhelmingly bullish with a 90.91% buy rating and a $239.75 price target, highlighting growth potential from data center electricity demand.
The outlook is supported by strategic positioning in power generation for AI infrastructure, but risks include volatile hedging impacts and high P/B valuation. Earnings growth from hyperscaler deals and nuclear assets offers upside, while technical weakness near support at $136 requires monitoring for stability.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →Vistra is a leading integrated retail electricity and power generation company that serves as a critical infrastructure provider for the digital economy. It operates a diversified portfolio of zero-carbon nuclear and renewable assets alongside a massive, flexible natural gas fleet, positioning it as an indispensable partner for energy-intensive AI data centers and industrial electrification.
Read more on VST →