CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs Vale SA — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $117.69 (market cap $18.38B), while Vale SA trades at $14.35 (market cap $62.26B). The key difference: Vale SA is far larger — about 3.4× CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s market cap, and Vale SA pays the higher dividend (8.12%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | VALE | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.38B | $62.26B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Basic Materials |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $17.82 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $9.71 |
Enterprise Value | $19.52B | $78.50B |
Dividend Yield | 1.98% | 8.12% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries Holdings (CF) trades at $114.35, down 2.04% today, reflecting a bearish technical trend with support at $112 and resistance at $116. The company reported mixed Q2 2026 earnings, missing EPS estimates at $4.73 versus $5.63 expected, but revenue grew 17.6% year-over-year on strong nitrogen pricing. Fundamentals remain solid with a P/E of 8.48 and net income margin of 27.12%, while cash flow improved to $368 million in 2025. Recent news highlights institutional buying and nitrogen market tightness supporting mid-cycle earnings.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic; CF benefits from robust nitrogen demand and pricing, with analyst consensus target at $119.60 implying upside. Risks include volume volatility from plant outages and debt levels, but high ROE (39.19%) and dividend payments signal financial health. Investors may find value at current levels if operational execution aligns with favorable industry conditions.
VALE trades at $14.71, showing minimal daily movement with a slight decline of 0.07%. The stock faces technical bearish signals from moving averages while fundamentals reveal mixed performance with declining net income margins from 42.85% in 2022 to 5.11% in 2026, despite recent revenue stabilization. Recent earnings misses in Q4 2025 and Q1-Q2 2026 highlight operational challenges, though the company maintains strong cash flow generation of $8.8 billion from operations in 2025.
VALE presents a cautious investment case with analyst consensus leaning neutral (51.35% hold) despite a $16.79 price target suggesting 14% upside. Key opportunities include copper segment growth and disciplined capital returns, while risks involve rising operational costs, earnings volatility, and governance concerns highlighted by recent board disputes. The stock's valuation at 29.42 P/E appears stretched given profitability declines.
Trailing returns across standard periods
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →Vale is the world's largest iron ore miner and one of the largest diversified miners, along with BHP and Rio Tinto. Earnings are dominated by the bulk materials division, primarily iron ore and iron ore pellets, with minor contributions from iron ore proxies, including manganese and coal. The base metals division is much smaller, primarily consisting of nickel mines and smelters with a small contribution from copper.
Read more on VALE →