CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $116.62 (market cap $18.31B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $31.94 (market cap $3.04B). The key difference: CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is far larger — about 6× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays a 2.01% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.31B | $3.04B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Financials |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $84.13 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $24.22 |
Enterprise Value | $19.89B | — |
Dividend Yield | 2.01% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries stock trades at $120.92, up 3.42% today, with a bullish technical outlook and strong fundamentals. Recent earnings beats, a 20% dividend hike announced July 8, 2026, and robust profitability metrics like a 23.73% net margin support investor confidence. The stock is near consensus price targets, with moving averages signaling upward momentum.
The outlook is positive, driven by firm nitrogen demand and shareholder returns, but risks include input cost pressures and cyclical industry headwinds. Upside potential exists if earnings continue to exceed expectations, though overbought RSI levels suggest near-term consolidation may occur.
UPST trades at $31.46, down 3.91% on the day, reflecting recent volatility amid mixed earnings. The stock shows a bearish technical trend with support near $29, while fundamentals highlight a return to profitability in 2025 with $1.02B revenue and $53.60M net income. Recent news emphasizes AI lending growth and a key $600M funding deal with Neuberger Berman, though margin pressures persist.
The outlook hinges on execution of AI-driven lending expansion and funding stability, with a consensus price target of $42.00 suggesting 33% upside. Risks include earnings volatility, high debt levels, and competitive fintech pressures. Analyst sentiment is balanced with 45% buy ratings, but investors await Q2 2026 results on August 4 for confirmation of growth trajectory.
Trailing returns across standard periods
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →