CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs United States Natural Gas Fund — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $118.6 (market cap $18.31B), while United States Natural Gas Fund trades at $10.42. The key difference: CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays a 2.01% dividend while United States Natural Gas Fund pays none, and CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is trading nearer its 52-week high, United States Natural Gas Fund nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | UNG | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.31B | — |
Sector | Basic Materials | Commodities - Energy |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $16.90 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $10.15 |
Enterprise Value | $19.89B | — |
Dividend Yield | 2.01% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries stock trades at $120.92, up 3.42% today, with a bullish technical outlook and strong fundamentals. Recent earnings beats, a 20% dividend hike announced July 8, 2026, and robust profitability metrics like a 23.73% net margin support investor confidence. The stock is near consensus price targets, with moving averages signaling upward momentum.
The outlook is positive, driven by firm nitrogen demand and shareholder returns, but risks include input cost pressures and cyclical industry headwinds. Upside potential exists if earnings continue to exceed expectations, though overbought RSI levels suggest near-term consolidation may occur.
UNG trades at $10.37, down 2.17% today, with a bearish technical signal from moving averages. The fund tracks natural gas futures, facing headwinds from contango effects and weather-dependent demand. Recent news highlights volatility tied to LNG exports and storage data, with EIA forecasting record 2026 supply and demand (Reuters, 2026-06-09).
Outlook remains cautious due to structural challenges in futures roll costs and price sensitivity to weather. Risks include production swings and geopolitical factors, while opportunities hinge on sustained LNG demand growth. Long-term performance has been hampered by contango, as noted by 24/7 Wall Street (2026-05-28).
Trailing returns across standard periods
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →UNG is a commodity ETF that tracks the daily price movements of natural gas futures. It primarily invests in front-month contracts at the Henry Hub, making it a highly volatile tool for short-term trading rather than long-term holding due to contango and roll costs.
Read more on UNG →