CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs United States Natural Gas Fund — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $117.69 (market cap $18.38B), while United States Natural Gas Fund trades at $10.06. The key difference: CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays a 1.98% dividend while United States Natural Gas Fund pays none, and CF Industries Holdings, Inc. is trading nearer its 52-week high, United States Natural Gas Fund nearer its low. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | UNG | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.38B | — |
Sector | Basic Materials | Commodities - Energy |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $16.90 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $9.63 |
Enterprise Value | $19.52B | — |
Dividend Yield | 1.98% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries Holdings (CF) trades at $114.35, down 2.04% today, reflecting a bearish technical trend with support at $112 and resistance at $116. The company reported mixed Q2 2026 earnings, missing EPS estimates at $4.73 versus $5.63 expected, but revenue grew 17.6% year-over-year on strong nitrogen pricing. Fundamentals remain solid with a P/E of 8.48 and net income margin of 27.12%, while cash flow improved to $368 million in 2025. Recent news highlights institutional buying and nitrogen market tightness supporting mid-cycle earnings.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic; CF benefits from robust nitrogen demand and pricing, with analyst consensus target at $119.60 implying upside. Risks include volume volatility from plant outages and debt levels, but high ROE (39.19%) and dividend payments signal financial health. Investors may find value at current levels if operational execution aligns with favorable industry conditions.
UNG trades at $9.74, up 1.14% in the last 24 hours, amid bearish technical signals from moving averages and oscillators. The stock lacks key financial ratio data, but news highlights natural gas futures volatility and comparisons with equity-based ETFs like FCG. Recent articles from WSJ and Reuters (June 2026) note steady trading ranges and record supply-demand forecasts from the EIA, influencing sentiment.
Outlook remains cautious due to technical weakness and commodity price dependence. Risks include geopolitical tensions and weather-driven demand shifts. Opportunities may arise from LNG demand growth, but investors face high volatility without clear fundamental anchors from traditional ratios.
Trailing returns across standard periods
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →UNG is a commodity ETF that tracks the daily price movements of natural gas futures. It primarily invests in front-month contracts at the Henry Hub, making it a highly volatile tool for short-term trading rather than long-term holding due to contango and roll costs.
Read more on UNG →