CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs Progressive Corp — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $118.2 (market cap $18.38B), while Progressive Corp trades at $212.5 (market cap $124.38B). The key difference: Progressive Corp is far larger — about 6.8× CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s market cap, and Progressive Corp pays the higher dividend (6.5%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | PGR | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.38B | $124.38B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Financials |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $252.68 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $190.40 |
Enterprise Value | $19.52B | $132.59B |
Dividend Yield | 1.98% | 6.5% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries Holdings (CF) trades at $114.35, down 2.04% today, reflecting a bearish technical trend with support at $112 and resistance at $116. The company reported mixed Q2 2026 earnings, missing EPS estimates at $4.73 versus $5.63 expected, but revenue grew 17.6% year-over-year on strong nitrogen pricing. Fundamentals remain solid with a P/E of 8.48 and net income margin of 27.12%, while cash flow improved to $368 million in 2025. Recent news highlights institutional buying and nitrogen market tightness supporting mid-cycle earnings.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic; CF benefits from robust nitrogen demand and pricing, with analyst consensus target at $119.60 implying upside. Risks include volume volatility from plant outages and debt levels, but high ROE (39.19%) and dividend payments signal financial health. Investors may find value at current levels if operational execution aligns with favorable industry conditions.
Progressive (PGR) trades at $215.33, showing minimal daily change. The stock exhibits a bullish technical trend with strong moving average signals, while oscillators remain neutral. Fundamentally, the company demonstrates robust revenue growth, rising from $49.6B in 2022 to $87.6B in 2025, with net income reaching $11.3B. Recent Q2 2026 earnings beat expectations at $4.85 EPS, though Q1 2026 slightly missed. The current P/E ratio of 10.8 suggests reasonable valuation relative to earnings strength.
The outlook for PGR remains positive with a consensus price target of $231.20, indicating potential upside. Key opportunities include expanding bundled insurance offerings and solid profitability metrics like 34.94% ROE. Risks involve competitive pressures in auto insurance and potential margin compression from growth investments. Analyst sentiment is mixed with 36.59% buy ratings, reflecting cautious optimism amid execution challenges.
Trailing returns across standard periods
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →Progressive underwrites private and commercial auto insurance and specialty lines
Read more on PGR →