CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs NRG Energy Inc — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $118.08 (market cap $18.38B), while NRG Energy Inc trades at $120.38 (market cap $24.83B). The key difference: NRG Energy Inc is the larger of the two by market cap, and CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays the higher dividend (1.98%). Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | NRG | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.38B | $24.83B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Utilities |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $184.03 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $117.04 |
Enterprise Value | $19.52B | $48.79B |
Dividend Yield | 1.98% | 1.61% |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries Holdings (CF) trades at $114.35, down 2.04% today, reflecting a bearish technical trend with support at $112 and resistance at $116. The company reported mixed Q2 2026 earnings, missing EPS estimates at $4.73 versus $5.63 expected, but revenue grew 17.6% year-over-year on strong nitrogen pricing. Fundamentals remain solid with a P/E of 8.48 and net income margin of 27.12%, while cash flow improved to $368 million in 2025. Recent news highlights institutional buying and nitrogen market tightness supporting mid-cycle earnings.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic; CF benefits from robust nitrogen demand and pricing, with analyst consensus target at $119.60 implying upside. Risks include volume volatility from plant outages and debt levels, but high ROE (39.19%) and dividend payments signal financial health. Investors may find value at current levels if operational execution aligns with favorable industry conditions.
NRG Energy trades at $118.13, down 0.77% on the day, with a bearish technical signal and recent earnings misses in Q1 and Q2 2026. The company reported Q2 2026 adjusted EBITDA of $1.2 billion, up 34% year-over-year, and is advancing a 1.2-GW Texas data-center power project to drive growth. Valuation metrics show a P/E of 30.76 and P/S of 0.72, with a net income margin of 2.56% for 2025.
The outlook is mixed: strong analyst consensus (69% buy ratings) and a $207.83 price target suggest upside, but technical weakness, rising debt, and execution risks on new projects pose challenges. Revenue growth to $33.1B in 2026 and strategic investments in data center demand support long-term potential, though interest costs and leverage require monitoring.
Trailing returns across standard periods
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →NRG Energy is one of the largest retail energy providers in the U.S., with 7 million customers, including its 2021 acquisition of Direct Energy. It also is one of the largest U.S. independent power producers, with 16 gigawatts of nuclear, coal, gas, and oil power generation capacity primarily in Texas. Since 2018, NRG has divested its 47% stake in NRG Yield, among other renewable energy and conventional generation investments. NRG exited Chapter 11 bankruptcy as a stand-alone entity in December 2003.
Read more on NRG →