CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs Nebius Group NV — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $117.69 (market cap $18.38B), while Nebius Group NV trades at $207.79 (market cap $46.75B). The key difference: Nebius Group NV is far larger — about 2.5× CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s market cap, and CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays a 1.98% dividend while Nebius Group NV pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | NBIS | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.38B | $46.75B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Technology |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $286.69 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $64.06 |
Enterprise Value | $19.52B | $46.94B |
Dividend Yield | 1.98% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries Holdings (CF) trades at $114.35, down 2.04% today, reflecting a bearish technical trend with support at $112 and resistance at $116. The company reported mixed Q2 2026 earnings, missing EPS estimates at $4.73 versus $5.63 expected, but revenue grew 17.6% year-over-year on strong nitrogen pricing. Fundamentals remain solid with a P/E of 8.48 and net income margin of 27.12%, while cash flow improved to $368 million in 2025. Recent news highlights institutional buying and nitrogen market tightness supporting mid-cycle earnings.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic; CF benefits from robust nitrogen demand and pricing, with analyst consensus target at $119.60 implying upside. Risks include volume volatility from plant outages and debt levels, but high ROE (39.19%) and dividend payments signal financial health. Investors may find value at current levels if operational execution aligns with favorable industry conditions.
NBIS trades at $187.97, down 1.01% with a bearish technical signal despite strong analyst support. The stock shows extreme valuation multiples (P/E 71.08, P/S 55.67) while demonstrating explosive revenue growth projections from $530M in 2025 to $878M in 2026. Recent earnings have been mixed with Q1 2026 beating expectations but Q4 2025 missing, with Q2 2026 results pending. The company faces significant execution risk as it scales AI infrastructure amid substantial capital expenditures.
The investment case hinges on NBIS converting its $1.9B annual run rate and contracted backlog into profitable growth. While analyst consensus remains strongly bullish with a $248.73 price target, high valuation and Michael Burry's short position highlight execution risks. Success depends on managing capex intensity and demonstrating operating leverage in upcoming earnings.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →Nebius Group N.V. is a technology company specializing in AI, machine learning, and cloud computing solutions. The company provides a range of enterprise-level cloud services, including large-scale data processing, advanced analytics, and AI model development and deployment. Nebius Group focuses on serving businesses that require high-performance, scalable, and secure infrastructure to handle complex computational tasks and accelerate their digital transformation.
Read more on NBIS →