CF Industries Holdings, Inc. vs Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. — how do they compare? CF Industries Holdings, Inc. trades at $117.69 (market cap $18.38B), while Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. trades at $32.32 (market cap $40.67B). The key difference: Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. is far larger — about 2.2× CF Industries Holdings, Inc.'s market cap, and CF Industries Holdings, Inc. pays a 1.98% dividend while Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| CF | CMG | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $18.38B | $40.67B |
Sector | Basic Materials | Consumer Cyclical |
52-Week High | $137.55 | $44.04 |
52-Week Low | $76.08 | $28.17 |
Enterprise Value | $19.52B | $45.42B |
Dividend Yield | 1.98% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
CF Industries Holdings (CF) trades at $114.35, down 2.04% today, reflecting a bearish technical trend with support at $112 and resistance at $116. The company reported mixed Q2 2026 earnings, missing EPS estimates at $4.73 versus $5.63 expected, but revenue grew 17.6% year-over-year on strong nitrogen pricing. Fundamentals remain solid with a P/E of 8.48 and net income margin of 27.12%, while cash flow improved to $368 million in 2025. Recent news highlights institutional buying and nitrogen market tightness supporting mid-cycle earnings.
Outlook is cautiously optimistic; CF benefits from robust nitrogen demand and pricing, with analyst consensus target at $119.60 implying upside. Risks include volume volatility from plant outages and debt levels, but high ROE (39.19%) and dividend payments signal financial health. Investors may find value at current levels if operational execution aligns with favorable industry conditions.
Chipotle Mexican Grill (CMG) trades at $32.81, down 2.67% amid food safety concerns. The stock shows bearish technical signals with strong analyst support (70% buy ratings) and a $42.17 consensus target. Recent quarterly earnings consistently beat expectations, with Q2 2026 EPS of $0.33 exceeding estimates. Revenue growth remains steady, climbing from $8.6B in 2022 to $11.9B in 2025, though net income margin compressed to 11.42% in 2026 from 13.55% in 2024.
Despite strong fundamentals and analyst optimism, CMG faces near-term headwinds from salmonella outbreaks and fraud investigations. The stock's premium valuation (P/E 29.76) requires sustained execution amid operational challenges. Long-term growth trajectory remains intact, but current sentiment is cautious due to food safety issues and legal scrutiny.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
CF Industries is a leading producer and distributor of nitrogen fertilizers. The company operates seven nitrogen facilities in North America and holds joint venture interests in further production capacity in the United Kingdom and Trinidad and Tobago. CF makes nitrogen primarily using low-cost U.S. natural gas as its feedstock, making CF one of the lowest-cost nitrogen producers globally.
Read more on CF →Chipotle Mexican Grill is the largest fast-casual chain restaurant in the United States, with systemwide sales of $7.5 billion in 2021. The Mexican concept is entirely company-owned, with a footprint of more than 3,000 stores, heavily indexed to the United States (though the firm maintains a small presence in Canada, the U.K., France, and Germany). Chipotle sells burritos, burrito bowls, tacos, quesadillas, and beverages, with a selling proposition built around competitive prices, high-quality food sourcing, speed of service, and convenience. The company generates its revenue entirely from restaurant sales and delivery fees.
Read more on CMG →