ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. trades at $16.71 (market cap $2.05B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.9 (market cap $2.94B). The key difference: Upstart Holdings Inc is the larger of the two by market cap, and ARMOUR Residential REIT, Inc. pays a 17.41% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| ARR | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $2.05B | $2.94B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $19.12 | $73.76 |
52-Week Low | $14.05 | $24.22 |
Dividend Yield | 17.41% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
ARMOUR Residential REIT (ARR) trades at $16.68, up 0.79% with a bullish technical signal despite mixed earnings performance. The REIT shows strong profitability with 97.43% net income margin and 19.74% ROE, trading below book value at P/B of 0.92. Recent quarterly results show alternating beats and misses, with Q2 2026 EPS of $0.72 slightly missing expectations. The company maintains consistent dividend payments of $0.24 quarterly, supporting income investor appeal.
ARR presents a value opportunity with attractive dividend yield but faces earnings volatility and high leverage risks. Analyst consensus is cautious with 60% hold ratings, reflecting concerns about mortgage REIT sensitivity to interest rates. The stock's technical position near key support at $16 suggests near-term stability, but investors should monitor interest rate environment impacts on mortgage-backed securities portfolio performance.
Upstart (UPST) trades at $31.09, up 4.64% on the day, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages. The company reported Q2 2026 revenue growth of 42% year-over-year and a return to GAAP profitability, with loan originations surging 50%. However, it has missed EPS expectations for three consecutive quarters. The stock is supported by a consensus analyst price target of $47.20, implying significant upside, but faces headwinds from high interest rates and competitive pressures.
The outlook is mixed: strong loan growth and AI-driven underwriting improvements offer growth potential, but recent earnings misses, a high P/E ratio of 59.79, and negative operating cash flow in 2025 pose risks. Investor sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with 45% of analysts rating it a Buy, though volatility from macroeconomic factors remains a key concern for shareholders.
Trailing returns across standard periods
ARMOUR Residential REIT Inc is a real estate investment trust that invests in residential mortgage-backed securities or RMBS. These are issued or guaranteed by U.S.-government-sponsored enterprises, such as Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, or Ginnie Mae. The company's investment portfolio is composed of mortgage-backed securities, adjustable-rate mortgage securities, and multifamily mortgage-backed securities. In terms of total fair value, most Armour's investments are long-term, fixed-rate agency RMBS. Multifamily RMBS also represents a substantial amount. Fannie Mae guarantees most of the company's holdings. Armour derives substantially all its revenue as interest income from its investments.
Read more on ARR →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →