AGNC Investment Corp vs Upstart Holdings Inc — how do they compare? AGNC Investment Corp trades at $10.93 (market cap $12.91B), while Upstart Holdings Inc trades at $29.1 (market cap $2.91B). The key difference: AGNC Investment Corp is far larger — about 4.4× Upstart Holdings Inc's market cap, and AGNC Investment Corp pays a 13.22% dividend while Upstart Holdings Inc pays none. Which is the better fit depends on your goals.
| AGNC | UPST | |
|---|---|---|
Market Cap | $12.91B | $2.91B |
Sector | Financials | Financials |
52-Week High | $12.17 | $73.76 |
52-Week Low | $9.46 | $24.22 |
Dividend Yield | 13.22% | — |
Signals from Pluang's Aura AI — not financial advice
AGNC Investment trades at $10.925, up 1.53% today, with a bullish technical signal from moving averages. The mortgage REIT shows strong profitability with a 94.38% net income margin and 21.67% ROE, though it missed Q4 2025 EPS estimates. Recent analyst upgrades and consistent monthly dividends highlight income appeal, while the stock trades modestly above its $8.58 book value. Cash flow trends indicate active portfolio management with significant investing and financing activities.
Outlook: AGNC offers high yield income potential with a secure dividend history, but faces interest rate sensitivity and valuation constraints. Risks include mortgage spread volatility and leveraged portfolio exposure. Analyst consensus is mixed with a $11.30 price target suggesting limited upside from current levels.
Upstart trades at $29.23, down 3.24% today, with a bearish technical signal despite recent Q2 2026 earnings beat showing 42% revenue growth and return to GAAP profitability. The stock faces valuation compression concerns with a P/E of 57.48, while analyst consensus remains divided with a $47.20 price target suggesting significant upside potential from current levels.
The outlook balances strong AI-driven loan origination growth against persistent earnings misses and negative cash flow from operations. Key risks include high short interest at 27% and sensitivity to interest rate environment, though institutional sentiment appears cautiously optimistic given the 45% buy rating distribution.
Trailing returns across standard periods
Latest headlines on both assets
AGNC Investment Corp is a real estate investment trust that invests in agency residential mortgage-backed securities. The firm's asset portfolio is comprised of residential mortgage pass-through securities and collateralized mortgage obligations for which the principal and interest payments are guaranteed by a U.S. Government-sponsored enterprise, such as the Federal National Mortgage Association and the Federal Home Loan Mortgage Corporation, or by a U.S. Government agency, such as the Government National Mortgage Association. It also invests in other types of mortgage and mortgage-related residential and commercial mortgage-backed securities or other investments in or related to, the housing, mortgage or real estate markets.
Read more on AGNC →Upstart Holdings Inc provides credit services. The company provides a proprietary, cloud-based, artificial intelligence lending platform. The platform aggregates consumer demand for loans and connects it to the network of Upstart AI-enabled bank partners. The revenue of the company is primarily comprised of fees paid by banks.
Read more on UPST →