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S&P 500 rally doubts rise as core inflation climbs, rate cuts unlikely before 2026

Market News
04 Jun 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
pluang ai news

The recent strong rally in the S&P 500, mainly driven by tech stocks, is facing skepticism due to a lack of healthy pullbacks and rising core inflation, which hit 3.3% year-over-year in April. This inflation trend reduces the likelihood of interest rate cuts this year or even in 2026, prompting a lowered S&P 500 forecast from 8,500 to 7,700. Additionally, geopolitical tensions, particularly the fragile U.S.-Iran ceasefire, could keep oil prices high and inflation pressures persistent. Investors should be cautious as the market may be overextended without clear signs of correction.

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