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Ultragenyx awaits two FDA decisions that could boost its stock to $32 from $27.

Analyst Insights
14 Aug 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
pluang ai news

Ultragenyx Pharmaceutical is rated a soft Buy with a current share price near $27 and a probability-weighted fair value of about $32 per share. The company faces two near-term FDA decisions: one on gene therapy DTX401 for glycogen storage disease type Ia on August 23, and another on UX111 on September 19. DTX401 has a stronger regulatory case with an 80% approval chance, while UX111 has a 65% chance. Ultragenyx expects significant revenue from existing products by 2026, and the market currently undervalues the probability of at least one drug approval. Risks include manufacturing issues and financing needs, but the upcoming FDA decisions are key catalysts for the stock.

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