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Alibaba's AI-driven cloud growth signals strong future upside despite recent earnings misses

Company Fundamentals
14 May 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bullish
pluang ai news

Alibaba Group is entering a significant growth phase driven by AI and cloud services, with Q4 2026 showing a 38% year-over-year increase in Cloud Intelligence revenue and 40% growth in external customers. Despite missing headline earnings and revenue targets, the company’s AI investments are expected to fuel medium to long-term gains. Analyst Danil Sereda projects a fair value of around $239 per share, suggesting over 60% upside if Alibaba is re-rated to 25 times its FY2028 earnings. Key risks include weak domestic consumption in China, high capital expenditures with uncertain returns, and U.S. export controls that could limit AI competitiveness.

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