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UBS upgrades European banks forecasts after strong Q2 earnings beat expectations

Market News
17 Aug 2026
Proactive Investors
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Bullish
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UBS maintained its 'overweight' rating on European banks following a strong Q2 earnings season where 38 of 40 major banks exceeded pre-provision profit expectations and 36 beat pre-tax profit forecasts. The sector showed resilience with credit impairments 6% below consensus and stable loan defaults at 1.9%. UBS raised earnings per share forecasts by 2% for 2026 and 1% for 2027, expecting sector earnings growth of 12% in 2026, 15% in 2027, and 10% in 2028. Valuations remain attractive with a 4-5% dividend yield, and UBS highlighted Barclays, ABN Amro, BNP Paribas, ING, National Bank of Greece, Santander, and Société Générale as top picks.

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