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Citi warns Flutter's US profit targets for H2 2026 may be overly optimistic amid margin concerns

Market News
12 May 2026
Proactive Investors
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Bearish
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Citi analysts caution that Flutter Entertainment's US profit forecasts for the second half of 2026 might be too optimistic despite recent downgrades. Flutter expects 77% of its full-year US adjusted EBITDA, around $747 million, to come in H2 2026, but Citi's forecast is lower at about $759 million for the full year, suggesting the company may struggle to meet its guidance. The bank also highlights that the implied H2 EBITDA margin of 21.6% would need to more than double the previous highest margin of 10.3% seen in H2 2025, indicating significant challenges in profitability improvement. This raises concerns that market expectations may underestimate the difficulty of achieving such sharp profit growth.

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