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UBS cuts ABF price target as Primark demerger nears amid weak sales and margin pressure

Market News
23 Apr 2026
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Bearish
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UBS has lowered its price target for Associated British Foods (ABF) to 2,050p from 2,240p following the announcement of Primark's planned demerger, which is expected to complete by the end of 2027. While UBS views the spin-off as a positive strategic move that could unlock shareholder value by creating two focused businesses, near-term concerns remain due to Primark's weak like-for-like sales, which fell 2.7% in the first half, and margin pressure from heavy markdowns. UBS also downgraded its outlook on ABF's sugar division, forecasting losses in FY26 and FY27, leading to a 4-9% cut in group EBIT forecasts. The key to any share price recovery lies in stronger sales performance at Primark.

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