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SMCI stock holds steady despite 25-30% drop after export control charges; valuation now fair, not a buy.

Market News
25 Mar 2026
Seeking Alpha
View Source
Bearish
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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) saw its stock drop 25-30% after three individuals linked to the company, including a cofounder, were charged with alleged export control violations. Despite this, SMCI remains a Hold as its valuation is now fair but not compelling enough to buy. The company reported strong revenue momentum with Q2 revenue around $12.7 billion and raised its full-year guidance to $40 billion, though margin uncertainty persists. The forward price-to-earnings ratio has compressed to about 10x, aligning with peers like HPE and below Dell, reflecting concerns over margins rather than mispricing. Technical and sentiment indicators do not currently support a tactical buy, and investors may wait for clearer margin outlooks or deeper price discounts.

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